Birmingham City’s Path to Glory: How Soon Can They Clinch League One Promotion?

Birmingham City’s Path to Glory: How Soon Can They Clinch League One Promotion?

No-one who works at Birmingham City will be thinking about when Blues might be promoted.

Indeed even as a journalist it feels premature and a needless tempting of fate that smacks of hubris and flirts with end-of-season ridicule.

So, that being said, let’s have a go at predicting anyway – with the obvious qualification that there’s only one proper answer. Blues will go up only when the chasing pack can no longer catch them.

When will Wycombe and Wrexham, or Stockport or Charlton or whoever run out of steam? They might not, Chris Davies’ team might have to run through the line.

In fact they might not even get to the line, their pursuers might sweep them up. In theory seventh-placed Leyton Orient can still reach 98 points.

Nervous yet? You don’t need to be, some bookmakers have Blues as 1/1000 to return to the Championship. The longest odds you can find are 1/80.

What will it take?

We’ve looked back at the last ten League One seasons, in reality nine because the 2019/20 campaign was cut short by Covid. The average points total of the team finishing third is 86.8.

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