EPL officials ban Leicester city, Ipswich and Leeds city from automatic promotion

Leicester, Leeds, and Ipswich are setting title-winning pace, but at least one will be relegated to the play-offs. Southampton aren’t far behind, but their defeat against the Foxes on Tuesday means they’re no longer in contention.

The Foxes’ once-dominant position had crumbled, with title odds at 1/12 – they entered 2024 17 points ahead of Leeds, and even on February 13, they were 12 points ahead.

Nonetheless, throughout the last ten Championship seasons, the average points needed to win the title was 89.6, with 84.6 required to finish in the top two.

These averages are calculated from the totals of the teams that placed second or third, with title and promotion winners sometimes exceeding these limits.

All four teams could easily exceed each of those averages, but as evidenced by their erratic play in recent weeks, point totals are no longer relevant. It’s down to match play.

Following consecutive defeats at Millwall and Plymouth, LEICESTER went home to upset West Brom 2-1 and take a significant step towards promotion.

Leicester’s entire fixture list

A 5-0 win over Southampton helped them take a significant step toward promotion and the title. The implied probability of them not being promoted is less than 4%, with 99% of them finishing in the top two, indicating where they are.

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