Championship title & promotion race: Leicester, Leeds, Ipswich, Southampton – who will reach Premier League?

The top two finishers in the Championship automatically advance to the Premier League,

with the remaining four separated by five points.

The race for automatic promotion to the Premier League this year appears to be going

down to the wire, with Southampton, Leeds, and Leicester, the teams that were demoted

from last season, attempting to reclaim their spot. Still, Kieran McKenna’s Ipswich are leading

a four-team battle at the moment.

When the year began, Enzo Maresca’s Leicester seemed like they would easily return to the Premier League, leading the Championship table by 13 points over Southampton in third place.

With only a few games remaining, four teams are engaged following the Saints’ victory over

Preston on Tuesday.

Conor Coady, a centre back for Leicester, discussed the psychology of this year’s Championship championship contest with BBC Radio 5 Live’s Monday Night Club.

“Of course, I always check the results. It’s what you do right away. If you win, you’re hoping they

lose so you can gain some ground; either way, it impacts you 100%.

“You watch athletes on television, hoping they’ll make a mistake and lose points. You just need

to make sure you’re carrying out your own duties, which is a normal thing to do.”

BBC Sport looks at Opta and the run-in forecasts.

In the event that teams are tied after 46 games, goals scored and goal differential will determine

the winner.

Who are the firm favourites?

With its 10,000 “supercomputer” simulations, Opta puts Leicester as the favourite despite a

string of losses and a challenging schedule ahead of them.

They stand a 62% chance of taking home the trophy and an 84% chance of getting promoted.

Opta estimates that Ipswich has a 62% chance of earning back-to-back promotions.

Opta projects that the current top three will all surpass 90 points, as no one has failed to advance

after reaching that threshold in the previous ten seasons.

It is expected that Southampton will finish with 89 points, having played two of their last four

games away against Leeds and Leicester.

“There have been a lot of twists and turns in this league, so you’re a fool if you try to predict it,

” former striker Sam Parkin of Luton and Ipswich stated on BBC Radio 5 Live.

Phil Brown, a former manager of Hull, Derby and Bolton, continued, saying: “It’s all about

bottle and pressure.” It all comes down to how well the club and organisation can manage that.

What if the teams finish level on points?

In the event of a tie, the league will be determined by goal differential, goals scored,

most points earned in head-to-head play, goal difference in those matches, and goals scored

in those matchups.

If everything is equal, we go on to the amount of victories and then goals scored in away games.

Between now and the season’s last day on May 4, there ought to be a lot more twists and turns,

no matter what.

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